Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.393597 0.505576 0.626743 0.765910 0.919803 1.083436 1.269306
2025-09-28 0.252684 0.404871 0.586264 0.810223 1.072479 1.364267 1.708381
2025-10-05 0.189974 0.361517 0.580602 0.863673 1.206196 1.596601 2.065794
2025-10-12 0.140901 0.322241 0.570236 0.903974 1.319057 1.801395 2.389599
2025-10-19 0.113833 0.305833 0.583454 0.968582 1.456990 2.032067 2.740208
2025-10-26 0.088547 0.285044 0.586202 1.016431 1.571940 2.233832 3.055890
2025-11-02 0.060209 0.249873 0.563108 1.026299 1.636572 2.373190 3.296486
2025-11-09 0.028510 0.192252 0.497921 0.973062 1.616561 2.406634 3.408686
2025-11-16 0.008558 0.140353 0.431578 0.911129 1.580067 2.415906 3.488618
2025-11-23 0.001600 0.111128 0.397139 0.890837 1.595189 2.486689 3.640594
2025-11-30 0.000051 0.096569 0.386635 0.904491 1.654668 2.612274 3.858600
2025-12-07 NaN 0.077991 0.364109 0.897390 1.684384 2.699188 4.028526
2025-12-14 NaN 0.057237 0.332678 0.876045 1.696565 2.767538 4.181229
2025-12-21 NaN 0.054382 0.342566 0.922302 1.804378 2.960206 4.489624
2025-12-28 NaN 0.054379 0.359339 0.979811 1.927924 3.173024 4.822819
2026-01-04 NaN 0.051371 0.367554 1.022748 2.030760 3.359128 5.123032
2026-01-11 NaN 0.053899 0.390977 1.091643 2.170840 3.593840 5.484075
2026-01-18 NaN 0.052772 0.403905 1.142552 2.285206 3.795189 5.803672
2026-01-25 NaN 0.044234 0.393749 1.153047 2.341120 3.920103 6.027689
2026-02-01 NaN 0.026514 0.347051 1.096407 2.297924 3.913932 6.086498
2026-02-08 NaN 0.012524 0.298150 1.030402 2.237736 3.883086 6.112403
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006639 0.274644 1.008748 2.241538 3.935733 6.242484
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004578 0.270151 1.023320 2.299704 4.061005 6.464804